Speculative selling in the LA housing market :: Mark A. R. Kleiman
Thanks to Scott of Hybla for sending the link.
One man figures now is the time to sell and switch to the renting:I wonder how 100 year lease-holds in Dubai compare to conventional rental prices in that market.
Los Angeles housing isn't a bubble in the sense that Washington, DC housing is reported to be: in L.A., unlike DC, you can't get appreciably cheaper housing of equivalent quality by renting. Still, the current sales prices in relation to incomes make sense only if people buying now are reckoning on price appreciation, as I did eight years ago.
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If the financial futures markets were better developed, I could hedge against the risk of a price drop (or long plateau) without physically moving. But the HedgeStreet market is still quite thin, and the financial products promised by the partnership between Robert Shiller's MACRO Securities Research and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange appear to remain, for now, nothing but promises. So I'm heading for the sidelines, putting my money where Brad DeLong's mouth is.
Thanks to Scott of Hybla for sending the link.
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