Consequences of the Hajj

David Clingingsmith, Asim Ijaz Khwaja and Michael Kremer:

We find that Hajjis (those who have performed the Hajj) are more likely to undertake universally accepted global Muslim religious practices such as fasting and performing obligatory and supererogatory (optional) prayers. The Hajj reduces performance of less universally accepted, more localized practices such as using amulets and the necessity of giving dowry. For example, the Hajj increases regularly praying in the mosque by 26% and almost doubles the likelihood of nonobligatory fasting. At the same time, it reduces the practice of using amulets by 8% and the South Asian belief of according unequal marriage priority to widows relative to unmarried women by 18%.

The evidence suggests that the Hajj increases tolerance, which seems to apply not just within the Islamic world but also beyond it. Hajjis return with more positive views towards people from other countries. Hajjis are also more likely to state that various Pakistani ethnic and Muslim sectarian groups are equal, and that it is possible for such groups to live in harmony. These views of equality and harmony extend to non-Muslims as well. Hajjis are 22% more likely to declare that people of different religions are equal and 11% more likely to state that adherents of different religions can live in harmony.

Concerned that these results merely reflect predispositions of those who would choose to attend the Hajj? Note that their method "method compares successful and unsuccessful applicants in a lottery used by Pakistan to allocate Hajj visas."

Find the paper here. Thanks to Chris Blattman for the pointer.

Eidonomics

There has been a fair bit of work in economics looking at the effect of Christmas on western economies created by the unevenness in purchasing. (I went looking a good summary, and - why should I be surprized? - finally found one by Tyler Cowen at Marginal Revolution.) The Hajj has similar features. One difference of course is with the Hajj all pilgrims are flying to and from the same place at the same time. During the Christmas holidays many people travel, but they're all going to grandma's (for example) -- not literally all the same place.

There are several stories in today's papers related to the strain Eid al-Adha, the Festival of Sacrifice in Islam, is putting on markets.

Spiralling prices of livestock likely to dampen Eid festivities
Sheep price hike hits middle class
Gas cylinder prices shoot up by almost 25%
Travellers scramble for air tickets
Residents forced to book eggs

The Hajj and its impact on Saudi Arabia and the Muslim world :: SUSRIS

It has an uncritical press release approach, but this essay is of interest to anyone interested in the scale of the Hajj and the operational challenges that accompany it.